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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 32.4%
Draw 30.3%
Tochigi City 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
28.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
28.2%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Tochigi - Tochigi City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 24. Tabata R. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Iwasaki H. 6. Abe K. 47. Yoshino H. 27. Nagai T. 7. Kawana R. 81. Nakano K. 17. Sugimori K. 77. Nishino T.
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 32. Koike Y. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 24. Nishiya K. 23. Yoshida A. 9. Suzuki M. 77. Tanaka P.
Substitutes
11. Aoshima T. 71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 40. Meshino S. 13. Osone K. 80. Otabor K. 15. Tsutsumi H. 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K.
17. Chinen T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 14. Kotake S. 7. Mori T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 11. Omotehara G. 13. Oshima T. 8. Yamashita K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Nishino T. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Nishino T. ⚽, Kawana R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 3 - 0, Konishi K. (Own goal),
53', 3 - 1, Suzuki M. ⚽,
53', Nagai T. 🟨,
64', Kato Jo ↓, Mori T. ↑,
65', Yoshida A. ↓, Okaniwa Y. ↑,
68', Kawana R. ↓, Osone K. ↑,
68', Sugimori K. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
70', Suzuki H. 🟨,
71', Tabata R. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
73', Kato M. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Nishiya K. ⚽, Tanaka P. (A),
79', Iwasaki H. ↓, Tsutsumi H. ↑,
79', Nishino T. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
81', Suzuki H. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
82', Koike Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
89', Tsutsumi H. 🟨,
89', Jonjic M. 🟨,
90+3', Yano K. 🟨,
90+6', Kawata S. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.