Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 5

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Tochigi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3	2.05
	2.88	3.25	2.18	Watch
	2.64	3.16	2.66
	3.1	3.18	2.32	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.54	3.14	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)	2.42 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
32.6%

Draw
29.4%

Tochigi
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sagamihara - Tochigi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Tochigi (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miura M. (G) 19. Okita S. 37. Yamauchi R. 5. Kato D. 16. Takano R. 4. Shimakawa T. 8. Kambe K. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.	71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 4. Sato S. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Iwasaki H. 13. Osone K. 47. Yoshino H. 40. Meshino S. 7. Kawana R. 81. Nakano K. 17. Sugimori K. 80. Otabor K.
Substitutes
15. Maeda T. 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 3. Pytlik K. 22. Sugimoto D. (G) 17. Takeuchi T. 23. Takusari Y. 6. Tokunaga Y. 2. Watahiki K.	6. Abe K. 9. Kondo Y. 27. Nagai T. 77. Nishino T. 31. Shikano S. (G) 24. Tabata R. 29. Yano K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Osone K. 🟨,
28', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Sugimoto R. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Yamauchi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Otabor K. ↓, Nishino T. ↑,
46', Meshino S. ↓, Nagai T. ↑,
47', Kambe K. 🟨,
49', 3 - 0, Shimakawa T. ⚽,
57', Inokoshi Y. 🟨,
59', 4 - 0, Nakayama R. ⚽,
66', Nakano K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
66', Osone K. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
67', Nakayama R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
67', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
78', Sugimoto R. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
78', Takano R. ↓, Pytlik K. ↑,
79', Sugimori K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
82', Sasaki K. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
90+1', Maeda T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Sagamihara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tochigi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
04.03.26	Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sagamihara - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shonan Bellmare - Sagamihara	4:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLL
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 J3 League
01.03.26	Tochigi - Yokohama FC	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi	0:4 ✺
23.11.25	Tochigi - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
20.07.25	Tochigi - Sagamihara	1:2
22.02.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi	1:0
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Sagamihara - Tochigi	0:0
11.04.21	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:0

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