The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 48.7%
Draw 26.2%
Tochigi 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
29.8%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
27.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tochigi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tochigi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sagamihara - Tochigi Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 5. Yamauchi R. 16. Kato S. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 15. Maeda T. 4. Shimakawa T. (C) 10. Nakayama R. 11. Muto Y. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
41. Tashiro R. (C) 7. Osako R. 88. Uchida K. 26. Tabata T. 2. Sakurai R. 10. Igarashi T. 16. Myogan T. 3. Higashi R. 81. Nakano K. 18. Matsushita Y. 9. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
34. Handai M. 20. Kawabata Y. 1. Miura M. (G) 19. Okita S. 22. Okuyama Y. 26. Sato S. 17. Takeuchi T. 7. Tanahashi A. 6. Tokunaga Y.
11. Aoshima T. 1. Kawata S. (G) 77. Nakamura J. 13. Osone K. 17. Sugimori K. 14. Suzuki S. 20. Suzuki W. I. 25. Yamaguchi T. 5. Yanagi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Sugimoto R. 🟨,
31', Yamauchi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Igarashi T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
72', Muto Y. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
72', Yamauchi R. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
72', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
79', Sugimori K. 🟨,
83', Nakano K. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
83', Kondo Y. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
84', Tabata T. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
85', Sugimoto R. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
85', Maeda T. ↓, Kawabata Y. ↑,
90+3', Higashi R. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 4.
Sagamihara has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tochigi is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tochigi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sagamihara has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:1 (averaging 1.5:0.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sagamihara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 1.7:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Sagamihara
13
6
4
3
21:14
7
22
16
Tochigi SC
13
3
5
5
12:16
-4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Sagamihara - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.19%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Kim Min-ho (G) 
Yamauchi R. 
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