Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shumbrat Saransk		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.48	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)	5.48 ↑ (4.3)	4.37 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
61.8%

Draw
16.9%

Strogino Moskva
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

21.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shumbrat Saransk's performance.

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shumbrat Saransk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 11).

Recent form of Shumbrat has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strogino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Shumbrat is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shumbrat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
11	FK Strogino Moscow	26	8	4	14	31:43	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - 2DROTS Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Shumbrat Saransk	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Spartak Tambov	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Volna Kovernino - Shumbrat Saransk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Strogino Moskva - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rotor 2 - Strogino Moskva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 67.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2

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