Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Guzar (Guzar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tajikistan	Futbol TV


	Shurtan Guzar		Dinamo Samarqand

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	4.4	3.2	1.78
	5.01	3.36	1.76
	4.81	3.28	1.74	Watch
	4.88	3.29	1.75	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.79)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	1.8 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
20.4%

Draw
28.6%

Dinamo Samarqand
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.1%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

27.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 15. Mannonov J. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 6. Kuziev S. (C) 33. Rahmatov B. 8. Nuriddinov S. 24. Narzullaev D. 17. Khasanov J. 10. Mamasidikov T.	13. Yagudin R. (G) 22. Abdullaev U. 18. Kucherenko O. 6. Urozov J. 17. Mustafoev S. (C) 88. Stanojevic M. 16. Friday R. 8. Kodirkulov S. 7. Ratinho 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 9. Mirakhmadov M.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 47. Anvarov A. 21. Jabborov M. 19. Khasanov N. 22. Sadulloev S. 99. Saidazimov K. 77. Saidkhonov A. 11. Sharipov D. 14. Toshkuziev A.	37. Abdurakhmonov F. 15. Aloxojayev M. 24. Bozorov M. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 11. Khalilov K. 5. Maykon Douglas 14. Nasimov B. 27. Nemanov E. (G) 25. Urmonjonov O.
Coaches
Berdiev A.	Abramov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Narzullaev D. 🟨,
37', Kodirkulov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, Mirakhmadov M. ⚽, Khozhimirzaev A. (A),
56', Nuriddinov S. ↓, Saidkhonov A. ↑,
56', Khasanov J. ↓, Sharipov D. ↑,
58', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Maykon Douglas ↑,
58', Stanojevic M. ↓, Urmonjonov O. ↑,
67', Kucherenko O. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
67', Khozhimirzaev A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov F. ↑,
78', Kuziev S. ↓, Jabborov M. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Khalilov K. ⚽,
90+3', Mirakhmadov M. ↓, Bozorov M. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Urmonjonov O. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, Khudoyberdiev U. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 4).

Shurtan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dinamo Samarqand is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dinamo Samarqand could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
27.04.25	Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Shurtan Guzar - Nasaf Qarshi	1:4 ✺
27.03.25	Kokand 1912 - Shurtan Guzar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League
20.04.25	Andijan - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	AGMK - Dinamo Samarqand	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
12.08.17	Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand	1:0
08.03.17	Dinamo Samarqand - Shurtan Guzar	3:0
21.08.15	Dinamo Samarqand - Shurtan Guzar	3:3
11.04.15	Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand	1:0
29.06.13	Dinamo Samarqand - Shurtan Guzar	2:1

Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide