The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pakhtakor 75.1%
Draw 17.4%
Shurtan Guzar 7.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.5%
20.7%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
12.1%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.
Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-34.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shurtan Guzar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 55. Abdumazhidov M. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 7. Alizhonov K. 3. Azmiddinov S. 47. Jonatan Lucca 5. Khamraliev M. 21. Resan B. 94. Riascos B. 11. Sergeev I. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S.
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 17. Khasanov J. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 10. Mamasidikov T. 15. Mannonov J. 24. Narzullaev D. 8. Nuriddinov S. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 33. Rahmatov B. 77. Saidkhonov A. 3. Sultonmurodov S.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 30. Jurakuziev O. 17. Khamdamov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 77. Saitov D. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 6. Urinboev M. 31. Usmonov M.
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 47. Anvarov A. 88. Ergashboev A. 70. Jumaev M. 22. Sadulloev S. 99. Saidazimov K. 11. Sharipov D. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.
Coaches
Moreira P.
Berdiev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽, Alizhonov K. (A),
27', Nuriddinov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Resan B. 🟨,
61', Nuriddinov S. ↓, Saidazimov K. ↑,
74', Nazarov V. 🟥,
77', Riascos B. ↓, Shevchenko N. ↑,
79', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
82', Resan B. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
86', Saidkhonov A. ↓, Ergashboev A. ↑,
87', Khasanov J. ↓, Anvarov A. ↑,
90+2', Sergeev I. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
90+4', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Kholmatov D. ↑,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 3.
Recent matches Pakhtakor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shurtan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Shurtan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pakhtakor is certain favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 3.5:1).
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Nazarov V. (G) 
Jonatan Lucca 
Resan B. 
Riascos B. 
Sharipov D. 
Moreira P. 
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