The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Navbahor Namangan 34.8%
Draw 29.7%
Neftchi Fargona 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
27.7%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
28.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navbahor Namangan's form might have worsened.
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Neftchi Fargona (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Yuldashev S. (G) 19. Gofurov M. 36. Guilherme Guedes 5. Julio Cesar 99. Higor Gabriel 32. Mo'ydinov M. 17. Jiyanov R. 14. Boltaboev J. 70. Gulomov A. 9. Urinboev Z. 11. Giyosov M.
1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 20. Gofurov A. (C) 4. Ciger B. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 23. Djokic J. 7. Ismoilov A. 5. Alibaev I. 10. Iskanderov J. 22. Odilov A. 9. Kojo J.
Substitutes
15. Abdujabborov J. 7. Akhmedov A. 1. Ergashev U. (G) 22. Joraboev A. 8. Komilov S. 12. Mirsaidov S. 29. Pedro 33. Sodikov J. 55. Tozhidinov K.
24. Gulyamov G. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 15. Nematzhonov S. 70. Nimely S. 11. Ruziev K. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 33. Yoqubjonov S.
Coaches
Lushchan S.
Levchenko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Julio Cesar 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. ⚽, Kojo J. (A),
38', Jiyanov R. 🟨,
45+5', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
66', Higor Gabriel ↓, Komilov S. ↑,
66', Boltaboev J. ↓, Mirsaidov S. ↑,
66', Odilov A. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
66', Kojo J. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
79', Urinboev Z. ↓, Pedro ↑,
80', Gofurov M. ↓, Tozhidinov K. ↑,
89', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
89', Alibaev I. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 1.
Recent performances by Navbahor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Recently, Navbahor has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).