Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)


	Shurtan Guzar		Qizilqum

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.87
	2.88	3.1	2.28
	2.86	3.38	2.33
				Watch
	3	3.2	2.37
	3.9	3.63	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.04)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	2.14 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
28.6%

Draw
28%

Qizilqum
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shurtan Guzar's performance.

Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qizilqum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shurtan will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shurtan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shurtan (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shurtan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 15. Mannonov J. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 22. Sadulloev S. 19. Khasanov N. 77. Saidkhonov A. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 24. Narzullaev D. 45. Kodirov G. 33. Rahmatov B. 10. Mamasidikov T.	1. Kuvvatov S. (G) 4. Vakhobov I. 23. Shukurillaev S. 88. Mijic D. 15. Kumburovic N. 5. Komilov D. 7. Anvarov D. 18. Bekmuradov F. 11. Jigauri J. 77. Jumankuziev F. 10. Paparyga R.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 5. Abdurazzakov M. 70. Jumaev M. 17. Khasanov J. 8. Nuriddinov S. 99. Saidazimov K. 11. Sharipov D. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.	20. Bozorov B. 19. Kenzhaev I. 70. Masovic A. 17. Muzaffarov A. 2. Norqulov K. 33. Rahmatov S. 30. Rakhmatov F. (G) 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 6. Usmonov M.
Coaches
Moyliyev E.	Rustamov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Paparyga R. ⚽, Bekmuradov F. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Kodirov G. ⚽, Pirmukhamedov A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Shukurillaev S. ↓, Kenzhaev I. ↑,
67', Bekmuradov F. ↓, Rakhmatullaev S. ↑,
67', Komilov D. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Vakhobov I. ⚽, Rakhmatullaev S. (A),
73', Khasanov N. ↓, Saidazimov K. ↑,
81', Sadulloev S. ↓, Sharipov D. ↑,
84', Paparyga R. ↓, Masovic A. ↑,
84', Anvarov D. ↓, Bozorov B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 12).

Shurtan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qizilqum is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shurtan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Qizilqum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
29.06.25	Buxoro - Shurtan Guzar	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
18.06.25	Shurtan Guzar - Orol Nukus	4:1 ✺
Uzbek League
14.06.25	AGMK - Shurtan Guzar	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWTL
- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
28.06.25	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
24.06.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum	4:1 ✺
Uzbek League
19.06.25	Andijan - Qizilqum	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Qizilqum - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Cup
18.08.21	Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum	1:2

Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide