Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Cracovia 2

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.85	3.7	3.3
	1.81	3.79	3.37
	1.87	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.3
	1.88	3.64	3.39	Watch
	2.02	3.41	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.61 ↑ (3.41)	3.27 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
47.8%

Draw
24.9%

Cracovia 2
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

24.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cracovia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Cracovia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, Matuszewski T. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Mroz P. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Mroz P. ⚽,
34', 4 - 0, Waclawek B. ⚽,
35', 4 - 1, ⚽,
38', 4 - 2, ⚽,
44', 4 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 4 - 4, ⚽,
69', 5 - 4, Marszalik K. ⚽,
81', 5 - 5, ⚽,
85', 5 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.73%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła II Kraków	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Stal Kraśnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL
- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.05.26	Cracovia 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Cracovia 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Cracovia 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.11.25	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0
11.06.22	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:3
07.11.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Cracovia 2	1:0
28.04.21	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0
19.09.20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Cracovia 2	1:0

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