Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.53	4	5	Watch
	1.49	4.15	5.01
	1.49	4.15	5.01
	1.46	4.25	5.5	Watch
	1.45	4.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.23 ↓ (4.75)	5.07 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
60.9%

Draw
21.3%

Podhale Nowy Targ
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

19.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

18.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 2.

Recent matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Podhale Nowy Targ is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Siarka Tarnobrzeg is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.11.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Unia Tarnów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.11.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Sokół Sieniawa - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:4 ✺
21.10.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Unia Tarnów - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.05.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0
16.10.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0
13.03.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1
07.10.20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1
02.11.19	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5:1
Polish Cup
15.07.17	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1

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