Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3	3.1	2.14
	3.17	3.24	2.2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.14	3.35	2.13	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
29.6%

Draw
27.8%

Polonia Warsaw
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polonia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polonia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
01.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Radunia Stężyca - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:0 ✺
11.03.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
01.04.23	Polonia Warsaw - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Wisła Puławy - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Polonia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
11.03.23	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
03.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1
22.04.17	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
23.09.16	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2

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