Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.85	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
47.9%

Draw
24%

Alania Vladikavkaz
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

23.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

23.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Sibir Novosibirsk - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kiselev M. (G) 8. Boldyrev B. 2. Churikov I. 22. Kobyalko A. 20. Laptev V. 5. Maksimenkov I. 11. Nikolaev O. 4. Redkovich D. 39. Stepanov K. 81. Yangaev A. 31. Zotov G. (C)	1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 14. Amiraliev A. 19. Butaev A. 76. Karkuzaev G. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 21. Kozyrev A. 11. Matyushenko I. 75. Ogoev S. 30. Shavlokhov D. 9. Zakirov A. M.
Substitutes
30. Alizade A. 9. Chikanchi M. 53. Deryugin A. 16. Karmin A. (G) 7. Popushoy A. 18. Sinyakov E. . Vshivkov V. . Zapalatskiy S.	2. Gioev A. 7. Gurtsiev B. 10. Kobesov D. 3. Kuskov A. 23. Nafikov V. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 47. Revazov A. 57. Tepsikoev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Butaev A. 🟨,
32', Boldyrev B. ↓, Vshivkov V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Laptev V. ↓, Deryugin A. ↑,
58', Kobyalko A. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
65', Kozyrev A. ↓, Kobesov D. ↑,
73', Churikov I. ↓, Zapalatskiy S. ↑,
77', Abdulkhamidov M. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ))

Recent form of Sibir has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alania has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sibir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sibir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sibir Novosibirsk	12	5	3	4	17:14	3	18
5	Alania Vladikavkaz	12	3	6	3	16:12	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.09.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Kirov	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sokol Saratov - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.09.26	Alania Vladikavkaz - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kaluga - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Alania Vladikavkaz - Dynamo Kirov	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
13.08.26	Spartak Nalchik - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
25.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:2
31.08.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:4

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