The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siello 19.4%
Draw 25.2%
Torrejón 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
28.1%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
26.3%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torrejón's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torrejón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Siello - Torrejón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Reguilon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Siello (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Torrejón has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Torrejón for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Siello has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Siello against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).