Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Siena		Monza

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.85
	3.8	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4	3.15	1.8
	3.85	2.99	1.87
	4.45	3.09	1.97
	4.33	3	1.91
	4.12	3.11	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (4.04)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
22.3%

Draw
29.6%

Monza
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

28.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.4%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siena - Monza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.20	Pro Patria - Siena	0:0 ✺
26.01.20	Siena - Lecco	1:1 ✺
22.01.20	Olbia - Siena	1:2 ✺
19.01.20	Carrarese - Siena	3:1 ✺
13.01.20	Siena - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWLT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.20	Monza - Lecco	4:0 ✺
26.01.20	Pro Vercelli - Monza	1:2 ✺
22.01.20	Monza - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
19.01.20	Monza - Como	1:1 ✺
12.01.20	Novara - Monza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.19	Monza - Siena	0:2
17.03.18	Monza - Siena	2:0
29.10.17	Siena - Monza	0:3

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