Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	18:30	GXR World
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 3
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	16:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Arab Emirates	17:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus
International	13:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Como

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.67	Watch
	5	3.8	1.7
	4.9	3.95	1.68
	5.25	3.81	1.72	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.67
	4.93	4	1.73	Watch
	5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.47)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)

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Current Win Probability

Monza
19.1%

Draw
24.6%

Como
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Monza - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Como will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Como (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Monza (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 20%). Como (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 4. Izzo A. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 19. Birindelli S. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D.	30. Butez J. (G) 31. Vojvoda M. 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 41. Valle A. 80. Caqueret M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 19. Ikone J. 79. Paz N. 38. Diao A. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 5. Caldirola L. 10. Caprari G. 11. Castrovilli G. 20. Forson O. 6. Gagliardini R. 35. Ganvoula S. 3. Lekovic S. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 12. Sensi S. 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S.	8. Alli D. 27. Braunoder M. 10. Cutrone P. 26. Engelhardt Y. 16. Fadera A. 15. Fellipe Jack 9. Gabrielloni A. 6. Iovine A. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 25. Reina P. (G) 20. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 7. Strefezza G. 77. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mota D. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Ikone J. ⚽, Diao A. (A),
24', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
38', Bianco A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Diao A. ⚽,
42', Nesta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Vojvoda M. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
55', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
56', Birindelli S. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
56', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
56', Bianco A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
59', Vojvoda M. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
60', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
67', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
71', Ikone J. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
71', Da Cunha L. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
80', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
87', Paz N. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.

Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Como is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Como is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Caldirola L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Como: Dossena A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
30.03.25	Cagliari - Monza	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Monza - Parma	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Inter Milan - Monza	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Monza - Torino	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Roma - Monza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Como - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Milan - Como	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Como - Venezia	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Roma - Como	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Como - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Como - Monza	1:1
Italian Serie B
03.04.22	Como - Monza	2:0
21.11.21	Monza - Como	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
19.01.20	Monza - Como	1:1
08.09.19	Como - Monza	0:1
07.03.15	Como - Monza	0:0
17.10.14	Monza - Como	2:1

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