Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Como

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.67	Watch
	5	3.8	1.7
	4.9	3.95	1.68
	5.25	3.81	1.72	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.67
	4.93	4	1.73	Watch
	5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.47)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)

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Current Win Probability

Monza
19.1%

Draw
24.6%

Como
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Monza - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Como will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Como (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Monza (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 20%). Como (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 4. Izzo A. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 19. Birindelli S. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D.	30. Butez J. (G) 31. Vojvoda M. 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 41. Valle A. 80. Caqueret M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 19. Ikone J. 79. Paz N. 38. Diao A. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 5. Caldirola L. 10. Caprari G. 11. Castrovilli G. 20. Forson O. 6. Gagliardini R. 35. Ganvoula S. 3. Lekovic S. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 12. Sensi S. 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S.	8. Alli D. 27. Braunoder M. 10. Cutrone P. 26. Engelhardt Y. 16. Fadera A. 15. Fellipe Jack 9. Gabrielloni A. 6. Iovine A. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 25. Reina P. (G) 20. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 7. Strefezza G. 77. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mota D. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Ikone J. ⚽, Diao A. (A),
24', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
38', Bianco A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Diao A. ⚽,
42', Nesta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Vojvoda M. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
55', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
56', Birindelli S. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
56', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
56', Bianco A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
59', Vojvoda M. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
60', Caqueret M. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
67', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
71', Ikone J. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
71', Da Cunha L. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
80', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
87', Paz N. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.

Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Como is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Como is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Caldirola L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Como: Dossena A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
30.03.25	Cagliari - Monza	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Monza - Parma	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Inter Milan - Monza	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Monza - Torino	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Roma - Monza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Como - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Milan - Como	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Como - Venezia	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Roma - Como	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Como - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Como - Monza	1:1
Italian Serie B
03.04.22	Como - Monza	2:0
21.11.21	Monza - Como	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
19.01.20	Monza - Como	1:1
08.09.19	Como - Monza	0:1
07.03.15	Como - Monza	0:0
17.10.14	Monza - Como	2:1

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