Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Andruv stadion (Olomouc)

Referee: Pansky M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sigma Olomouc		Bohemians 1905

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.70	3.80	4.60
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.74	3.95	4.63
	1.69	4	4.52	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.65
	1.74	3.76	4.7	Watch
	1.69	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)	3.8 ↑ (3.55)	4.59 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sigma Olomouc
55%

Draw
24.6%

Bohemians 1905
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Bohemians 1905 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905 Predictions

Users Predictions: Sigma Olomouc will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Koutny J. (G) 2. Sylla A. 33. Maly M. 3. Lurvink L. 22. Hadas M. 88. Barath P. 7. Beran M. 70. Ghali A. 39. Janosek D. (C) 10. Sejk V. 23. Krivak F.	23. Fruhwald T. (G) 25. Kareem P. 27. Lischka D. 3. Kadlec M. 24. Havel M. 42. Smrz V. 16. Kvet R. 37. Javorcek D. 47. Cermak A. (C) 99. Almasi L. 11. Pilar V.
Substitutes
19. Barat D. 17. Dembe J. 29. Ekeroth A. 98. Hruska M. (G) 9. Kliment J. 11. Mikaelsson H. 26. Noumbissie S. 6. Sip J. 14. Soldo M. 8. Spacil J. 24. Tkac D.	15. Banda M. 70. Cerny S. 8. Heidenreich D. 19. Kovarik J. 9. Krobot L. 10. Matousek J. 32. Mirvald P. 12. Reichl M. (G) 18. Vala D. 22. Vondra J. 13. Zeman V.
Coaches
Hapal P.	Vesely J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Barath P. ⚽, Ghali A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Sejk V. ⚽, Sylla A. (A),
39', Kvet R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Havel M. ↓, Mirvald P. ↑,
46', Smrz V. ↓, Cerny S. ↑,
46', Pilar V. ↓, Matousek J. ↑,
63', Almasi L. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
64', Krivak F. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
64', Hadas M. ↓, Ekeroth A. ↑,
65', Janosek D. ↓, Tkac D. ↑,
76', Cermak A. ↓, Zeman V. ↑,
76', Sejk V. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Soldo M. ⚽, Barath P. (A),
86', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sigma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sigma is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sigma won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Sigma Olomouc: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16:13	3	16
11	Bohemians	9	3	3	3	10:11	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sigma Olomouc - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Bohemians 1905 - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
29.08.26	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sigma Olomouc - Pardubice	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Slovácko - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Artis Brno - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWT
- Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga
02.09.26	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
25.08.26	Zápy - Bohemians 1905	2:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.08.26	Slavia Prague - Bohemians 1905	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Zlín - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Bohemians 1905 - Hradec Králové	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
10.05.26	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	1:2 ET
02.05.26	Bohemians 1905 - Sigma Olomouc	1:3
01.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	1:0
27.09.25	Bohemians 1905 - Sigma Olomouc	2:2
09.03.25	Bohemians 1905 - Sigma Olomouc	0:1
06.10.24	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	1:3
02.03.24	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	2:2

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