Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Siheung		Gangneung

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.7
	1.53	3.98	6.37
	1.49	4.05	5.86	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.46	3.82	6.46	Watch
	1.78	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.78)	3.77 ↑ (3.45)	5.73 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siheung
59.6%

Draw
24.4%

Gangneung
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siheung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siheung's performance.

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gangneung might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+5%)

Siheung - Gangneung Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siheung won 1.

Siheung is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gangneung's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Siheung may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Siheung has had a series of away games.

In this match, Siheung is considered a favorite.

We predict that Siheung will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Siheung won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Siheung won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	17	55
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Changwon City - Siheung	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Siheung - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pocheon - Siheung	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Siheung	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWW
- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
10.05.26	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Gangneung	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Chuncheon - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.11.25	Siheung - Gangneung	0:1
22.06.25	Gangneung - Siheung	2:2
07.09.24	Gangneung - Siheung	2:1
11.05.24	Siheung - Gangneung	0:2
04.11.23	Siheung - Gangneung	1:0
11.06.23	Gangneung - Siheung	0:0
12.06.22	Siheung - Gangneung	1:0

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