Match Info

K3 League - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Changwon City		Siheung

	1	X	2
	3.15	3	2.15	Watch
	3.38	3.2	2.26
	3.26	3.07	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.22	3.33	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
28.6%

Draw
29.2%

Siheung
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.1%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Siheung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Siheung aligns with the current prediction.

Changwon City - Siheung Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 1.

In recent matches, Changwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siheung is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Siheung could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	17	55
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL
- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
26.04.26	Siheung - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pocheon - Siheung	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Siheung	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
13.07.25	Siheung - Changwon City	2:0
15.03.25	Changwon City - Siheung	1:2
14.09.24	Siheung - Changwon City	1:0
18.05.24	Changwon City - Siheung	2:2
22.09.23	Changwon City - Siheung	1:0
27.05.23	Siheung - Changwon City	1:0
23.10.22	Siheung - Changwon City	1:2

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