Match Info

K3 League - Round 10

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Gangneung		Daejeon Korail

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.27	3.2	2.31
	3.13	3.04	2.28	Watch
	3	2.8	2.25
	3.15	2.98	2.23
	2.7	3.3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
30%

Draw
29.8%

Daejeon Korail
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Gangneung - Daejeon Korail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gangneung may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gangneung has had a series of away games.

Daejeon Korail could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangneung won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:19. (average 2.1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Daejeon Korail	23	12	5	6	33:18	15	41
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
01.05.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Gangneung	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Chuncheon - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLT
- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yangpyeong - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Siheung	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.07.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	4:3
04.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	1:1
29.06.24	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	3:2
02.03.24	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	1:0
27.08.23	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	2:2
29.04.23	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	0:0
24.06.22	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	0:3

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