Match Info
SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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Polvorín |
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Somozas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.13 |
3.21 |
3.25 |
 Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.08 |
3.29 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.02) |
3.1
(3.1) |
3.27 ↓
(3.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Polvorín
43% | Draw
29.3% | Somozas
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Somozas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Polvorín - Somozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Casais V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Cambon J. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, Maceira J. ⚽,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13).Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2. Recent matches Polvorín is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Somozas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Polvorín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.4:1.2). Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 03.11.24 | Somozas - Polvorín | 1:2 | | 31.03.24 | Polvorín - Somozas | 0:0 | | 11.11.23 | Somozas - Polvorín | 2:0 | | 05.03.22 | Polvorín - Somozas | 0:1 | | 31.10.21 | Somozas - Polvorín | 1:3 | | 07.02.21 | Somozas - Polvorín | 1:4 | | 15.11.20 | Polvorín - Somozas | 1:2 |
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