Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, Supersport WWE
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV5
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
Thailand	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Simba		Berkane

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2	2.87	3.6
				Watch
	2.23	2.9	3.28
	2.27	2.99	3.45	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.75
	2.21	2.99	3.38	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)	3.04 ↓ (3.5)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
43.5%

Draw
30.2%

Berkane
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Berkane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkane than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Simba - Berkane Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Camara M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 2. Karaboue C. 20. Malone Junior C. 15. Hussein M. (C) 21. Kagoma Y. 6. Ngoma F. 10. Ahoua J. C. 34. Mpanzu E. 26. Mutale J. 11. Mukwala S.	1. Munir (G) 15. Assal A. 4. Dayo I. (C) 13. Tahif A. 19. El Moussaoui H. 6. Camara M. 21. Mehri Y. 8. Khairi A. 17. Labhiri Y. 18. Riahi I. 9. Lamlioui O.
Substitutes
1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 36. Chasambi L. 3. Duchu 17. Fernandes D. 38. Kibu D. 13. Leonel Ateba 29. Nouma V. 25. Okejepha A.	30. Bassene P. 10. El Morabit M. 35. Hajji R. 22. Maftah M. (G) 20. Manaout H. 7. Mateus Santos 3. Sadil M. 5. Sidibe S. 11. Zghoudi Y.
Coaches
Davids F.	Chaabani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Mutale J. ⚽, Mpanzu E. (A),
36', Kapombe S. 🟨,
42', Khairi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Kagoma Y. 🟨,
50', Kagoma Y. 🟨,
59', Riahi I. 🟨,
59', Riahi I. ↓, Bassene P. ↑,
68', Khairi A. ↓, El Morabit M. ↑,
71', Mutale J. ↓, Kibu D. ↑,
73', Camara M. 🟨,
78', Lamlioui O. ↓, Zghoudi Y. ↑,
78', Camara M. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
84', Hussein M. ↓, Nouma V. ↑,
84', Malone Junior C. ↓, Leonel Ateba ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Sidibe S. ⚽,
90+5', Ngoma F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

Simba is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Berkane is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Simba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Berkane is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Simba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Simba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Simba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.25	Berkane - Simba	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
11.05.25	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Simba - Pamba	5:1 ✺
05.05.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW
- RSB Berkane
CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.25	Berkane - Simba	2:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
11.05.25	Maghreb Fez - Berkane	1:3 ✺
07.05.25	Berkane - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	CODM de Meknès - Berkane	0:4 ✺
01.05.25	Berkane - Difaa El Jadida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.25	Berkane - Simba	2:0
13.03.22	Simba - Berkane	1:0
27.02.22	Berkane - Simba	2:0

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