Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Sint-Truidense		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.66	4	4.8
	1.63	4	5	Watch
	1.64	4.18	5.3
	1.65	4.18	5.2
	1.6	3.9	4.6
	1.63	4.15	4.85	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)	4.1 ↑ (3.83)	4.94 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
57.8%

Draw
23.1%

Eupen
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

21.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sint-Truidense's performance.

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eupen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eupen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Sint Truidense - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: Sint-Truidense will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suzuki Z. (G) 20. Van Helden R. 16. Smets M. 31. Godeau B. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 13. Ito R. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 77. Bocat E. 18. Steuckers J. 7. Koita A. 15. Zahiroleslam K.	24. Slonina G. (G) 15. Magnee G. 21. Kral J. 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. (C) 2. Van Genechten Y. 18. Keita A. 6. Baiye B. 19. Pantovic M. 8. Mohwald K. 7. Nuhu I.
Substitutes
27. Ananou F. 23. Barnes J. 12. Coppens J. (G) 8. Fujita J. 22. Janssens W. 30. Okazaki S. 6. Yamamoto R.	11. Bitumazala N. 23. Christie-Davies I. 3. Davidson J. 25. Filin A. 27. Finnbogason A. 99. Roufosse T. (G) 34. Youndje K.
Coaches
Fink T.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sint-Truidense won 2.

Recent matches Sint-Truidense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eupen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sint-Truidense is a favorite.

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Lambert B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 28 head-to-head matches Sint-Truidense won 9 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 47-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Cup
31.10.23	Sint-Truidense - Francs Borains	3:0 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.23	Sint-Truidense - RWDM Brussels	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Sint-Truidense	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.10.23	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Cup
31.10.23	Eupen - Oostende	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.10.23	Eupen - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Saint-Gilloise - Eupen	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Eupen - Anderlecht	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.01.23	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	0:2
02.10.22	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	0:1
27.12.21	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	2:0
14.08.21	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	2:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	1:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.02.21	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	0:2
29.08.20	Eupen - Sint-Truidense	1:1

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