Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Staessens B. (Bel)


	Eupen		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.9	1.73
	4.5	4	1.72	Watch
	4.49	4.1	1.76
	4.4	4	1.71	Watch
	4.3	4.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4)	4.02 ↑ (3.85)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
21.4%

Draw
23.6%

Anderlecht
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.2%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Eupen - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 3. Davidson J. 2. Van Genechten Y. 19. Pantovic M. 6. Baiye B. 15. Magnee G. 23. Christie-Davies I. 27. Finnbogason A. 7. Nuhu I.	33. Schmeichel K. (G) 22. Patris L. 56. Debast Z. 14. Vertonghen J. 15. Augustinsson L. 23. Rits M. 21. Diawara A. 17. Leoni T. 36. Dreyer A. 20. Vazquez L. 11. Hazard T.
Substitutes
11. Bitumazala N. 10. Charles-Cook R. 14. Deom J. 25. Filin A. 21. Kral J. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 34. Youndje K.	61. Arnstad K. 83. Degreef T. 1. Dupe M. (G) 8. Flips A. 19. Lonwijk J. 54. Sardella K. 29. Stroeykens M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Riemer B.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 0.

Recent matches Eupen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Anderlecht is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Anderlecht is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.09.23	Gent - Eupen	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Eupen - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Kortrijk - Eupen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.09.23	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Genk - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Anderlecht - Charleroi	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Anderlecht - Westerlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.04.23	Eupen - Anderlecht	0:1
30.10.22	Anderlecht - Eupen	4:2
Belgian Cup
03.03.22	Anderlecht - Eupen	3:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.02.22	Anderlecht - Eupen	4:1
Belgian Cup
03.02.22	Eupen - Anderlecht	2:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.07.21	Eupen - Anderlecht	1:1
15.01.21	Eupen - Anderlecht	2:0

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