Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Siracusa		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	1.97	3.15	3.65
	1.99	3.26	3.58	Watch
	1.99	3.13	3.61
	1.97	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
45.9%

Draw
28.8%

Ospitaletto
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Siracusa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Siracusa - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gobbi F. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Maggio D. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 2, Puzone M. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Sarao M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Siracusa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ospitaletto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ospitaletto has had a series of home games.

Siracusa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.05.25	Siracusa - Guidonia Montecelio	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Casarano - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.05.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Siracusa - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Siracusa - Paternò	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Ospitaletto - Bra	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Ospitaletto - Crema	3:3 ✺
27.04.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Ospitaletto - Club Milano	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWW

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