Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Siracusa		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.1
	1.83	3.15	4.3
	1.83	3.31	3.86
	1.82	3.36	4.12	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.83	3.3	4.02
	1.83	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	4.09 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
49.6%

Draw
28.3%

Guidonia Montecelio
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Siracusa - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Palermo M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Convitto R. ⚽,

Preview

Siracusa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guidonia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Siracusa is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Casarano - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.05.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Siracusa - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Siracusa - Paternò	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Licata - Siracusa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.05.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Casarano	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Puteolana - Guidonia Montecelio	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Ilvamaddalena - Guidonia Montecelio	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Anzio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

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