Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	18:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Casarano		Siracusa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.2	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.47
	2.12	3.36	3.14	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.25	3.33	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.25 ↓ (3.63)	3.09 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
42%

Draw
28.2%

Siracusa
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Casarano - Siracusa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Casarano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Siracusa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Siracusa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 5. Celiento D. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 29. Gyamfi B. 23. Logoluso G. 77. Cajazzo I. 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 35. Cerbone S. 9. Grandolfo F.	22. Farroni A. (G) 42. Iob S. 5. Pacciardi F. 26. Marafini A. 2. Puzone M. 17. Candiano M. (C) 28. Frisenna G. 24. Limonelli C. 7. Sbaffo A. 19. Valente N. 14. Contini G.
Substitutes
22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 67. Jacopo L. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 16. Santarcangelo A.	9. Arditi G. 25. Bonacchi C. 18. Capomaggio T. 21. Contaldo F. 20. Gudelevicius E. 30. Morreale M. 11. Riccardi P. 29. Simonetta J. 96. Sylla A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Bachini M. 🟨,
43', Frisenna G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cajazzo I. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Cerbone S. ⚽,
51', Sbaffo A. 🟨,
60', Candiano M. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
60', Limonelli C. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
67', Frisenna G. ↓, Simonetta J. ↑,
73', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Puzone M. ⚽,
81', Cerbone S. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
81', Contini G. ↓, Arditi G. ↑,
83', Sbaffo A. ↓, Bonacchi C. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Casarano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.26	Foggia - Casarano	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW
- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Siracusa - Casertana	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sorrento - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Potenza - Siracusa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Siracusa - Casarano	4:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Casarano - Siracusa	1:3

Casarano - Siracusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide