Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Siracusa		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.1
	2.2	3.26	3.33
	1.97	2.58	5.54	Watch
	2.15	3.22	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.54 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
42.9%

Draw
30.7%

Sorrento
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siracusa - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 25. Bonacchi C. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 24. Limonelli C. 17. Candiano M. (C) 7. Guadagni G. 11. Capanni L. 19. Valente N. 14. Contini G.	22. Harrasser S. (G) 15. Solcia D. 33. Carillo L. 46. Colombini L. 18. Tonni M. 23. Cangianiello S. 16. Franco D. 8. Cuccurullo M. 17. Riccardi P. 7. D'Ursi E. 29. Santini C.
Substitutes
27. Ba R. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 23. Catena E. M. 77. Di Paolo S. 13. Falla R. 28. Frisenna G. 6. Frosali J. 55. Krastev D. 9. Molina J. I. 30. Morreale M. 10. Parigini V. 33. Zanini M.	3. Crecco L. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 92. Del Sorbo L. (G) 21. Matera A. 9. Plescia V. 4. Potenza A. 73. Ricercato R. 19. Russo D. 90. Sabbatani A. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Pacciardi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Capanni L. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
53', Colombini L. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, D'Ursi E. ⚽,
70', Santini C. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
70', Colombini L. ↓, Matera A. ↑,
70', Contini G. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
70', Guadagni G. ↓, Di Paolo S. ↑,
80', Riccardi P. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
80', Puzone M. 🟨,
81', Franco D. 🟨,
87', Pacciardi F. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
87', Puzone M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,
88', D'Ursi E. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Siracusa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sorrento has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Siracusa - Benevento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Catania - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Salernitana - Sorrento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTTL

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