Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Referee: Picardi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Sorrento		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.50
	2.42	3.2	2.65
	2.69	3.25	2.85
	2.48	3.32	2.62	Watch
	2.65	2.85	2.8
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.43	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.41)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
36.5%

Draw
28.9%

Casarano
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sorrento - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 27. Loreto C. 32. Paglino S. 28. Capezzi L. 21. Potenza A. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 3. Crecco L. 19. Bolzan A. 7. Starita E.	97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 36. Matino E. 33. Mercadante M. 3. Giraudo F. 11. Ferrara V. 23. Logoluso G. 10. Chirico C. 17. Maiello R. (C) 46. Leonetti V. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
4. Bacci J. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 23. Cangianiello S. 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 6. Fusco F. 9. Parker S. 2. Puzone M. 10. Ricci F.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 37. Cuzzarella C. 29. Gyamfi B. 7. Knezovic B. 8. N’Diaye A. 77. Palumbo F. 30. Podrini F. 27. Versienti L. 21. Zanellato N.
Coaches
Maiuri V.	Di Bari V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bolzan A. ⚽, Capezzi L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Giraudo F. 🟨,
55', Logoluso G. ↓, N’Diaye A. ↑,
55', Leonetti V. ↓, Cuzzarella C. ↑,
59', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,
68', Starita E. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
68', Paglino S. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
72', Maiello R. ↓, Knezovic B. ↑,
77', Bolzan A. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
77', Potenza A. ↓, Cangianiello S. ↑,
80', Cargnelutti R. ↓, Fusco F. ↑,
80', Ciotti P. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
80', Giraudo F. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Loreto C. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals) and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Sorrento has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sorrento against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:3 goals (averaging 4.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
14	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sorrento - Bari	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Cavese - Sorrento	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Casarano - Barletta	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3
Italian Serie D - Group H
03.04.22	Sorrento - Casarano	3:0
21.11.21	Casarano - Sorrento	1:1
14.03.21	Casarano - Sorrento	1:0
16.02.20	Sorrento - Casarano	7:0
13.10.19	Casarano - Sorrento	0:0

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