Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Sivasspor		Altay

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.76	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.8
	1.78	3.54	5.44
	1.8	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.54	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	4.83 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
53.5%

Draw
27.1%

Altay
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

17.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sivasspor - Altay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Sivasspor has the most likely position - 12 (11.64%), has project points - 50, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Altay has the most likely position - 17 (46.31%), has project points - 38, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, small importance 30, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sivasspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
13.03.22	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	2:3 ✺
06.03.22	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.03.22	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.02.22	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
20.02.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLL
- Altay SK
Turkish Super League
12.03.22	Altay - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Altay - Gaziantep	3:2 ✺
19.02.22	Beşiktaş - Altay	1:0 ✺
11.02.22	Altay - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.10.21	Altay - Sivasspor	1:1

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