The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 44.5%
Draw 28%
Altay 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
26.9%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
21.3%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Altay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Karagümrük has the most likely position - 11 (13.28%), has project points - 52, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Altay has the most likely position - 18 (31.79%), has project points - 37, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality31, small importance24, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Watch
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