Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, SportKlub
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Hungary	Sport 2
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Sivasspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.93
	3.85	3.61	1.9
	4.2	3.71	1.92
	4.04	3.69	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.85
	4.04	3.87	1.93	Watch
	3.85	3.61	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.06)	3.66 ↓ (3.84)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
24.1%

Draw
25.9%

Beşiktaş
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.7%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.7%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	18.2%	77.3%

Sivasspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 23. Okumus A. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 44. Poungouras A. 58. Erdal Z. (C) 12. Moutoussamy S. 30. Cigerci T. 8. Charisis C. 22. Simic V. 9. Manaj R. 80. Bekiroglu E.	34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 53. Topcu E. 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 83. Fernandes G. 7. Rashica M. 18. Joao Mario 23. Muci E. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
25. Aksoy O. 53. Basyigit E. 15. Bieganski J. 46. Boke T. 21. Gokay E. 66. Kaya S. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 10. Pritchard A. 88. Seker T. 90. Turgunboev A.	44. Ay F. K. 94. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 19. Kilic A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 93. Ozuarap A. B. 8. Ucan S.
Coaches
Erdogan O.	Solskjaer O. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Erdal Z. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
38', Cigerci T. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Topcu E. ⚽, Masuaku A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Muci E. 🟨,
54', Muci E. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
64', Immobile C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
64', Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
70', Charisis C. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
78', Fernandes G. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
82', Bieganski J. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
88', Okumus A. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
89', Rashica M. ↓, Ay F. K. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Joao Mario (Pen),
90+4', Joao Mario 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Camara S. (Thigh Injury) Paluli M. (Red Card) Radakovic U. (Red Card)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Rafa Silva (Yellow Cards) Sanuc T. T. (Hamstring Injury) Terzi E. (Ankle Injury) Topcu E. (Ankle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Hamstring Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:31 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Kocaelispor - Sivasspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.25	Eyüpspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sivasspor - Kayserispor	5:2 ✺
20.01.25	Trabzonspor - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLT
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Beşiktaş - Kırklarelispor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Twente - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.01.25	Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.25	Beşiktaş - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.01.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	0:1
Turkish Super League
01.09.24	Beşiktaş - Sivasspor	2:0
28.01.24	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	1:0
03.09.23	Beşiktaş - Sivasspor	2:0
04.02.23	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	1:0
29.08.22	Beşiktaş - Sivasspor	3:1
26.02.22	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	2:3

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