Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Sivasspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.87
	2.45	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.57	3.2	3.05
	2.57	3.16	3.05
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.55	3.42	2.93	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	2.9 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
38%

Draw
29.3%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	31.6%	21.1%

Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 99. Paluli M. 4. Appindangoye 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 44. Poungouras A. 8. Charisis C. 33. Elmaz B. 90. Turgunboev A. 9. Manaj R. 55. Koita F.	31. Sirigu S. (G) 4. Biraschi D. (C) 54. Dursun S. 25. Gunter K. 3. Veseli F. 97. Paoletti F. 91. Bertolacci A. 11. Mor E. 9. Eysseric V. 10. Yalcin G. 15. Lasagna K.
Substitutes
12. Akdag I. 17. Bassan E. 30. Caktas M. 58. Erdal Z. 21. Gokay E. 16. Kapacak B. 19. Kvet R. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 10. N'Jie C. 23. Okumus A.	23. Bilgin E. (G) 7. Keles C. 70. Marcao 20. Mendes R. 37. Mizrakci E. 6. Rohden M. 30. Sangare N. 99. Teklic T. 22. Tintis E. 77. Ugur A.
Coaches
Uygun B.	Kafkas T.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Karagümrük have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
16.03.24	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
17.02.24	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Club Friendly
28.03.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.03.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	5:1 ✺
04.03.24	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.02.24	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
11.11.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	3:0
04.03.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	4:3
03.09.22	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
02.03.22	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
Turkish Super League
20.02.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	1:0
25.09.21	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:0
13.03.21	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0

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