The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sivasspor 54.8%
Draw 26.1%
Gençlerbirliği 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.2%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
17.1%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gençlerbirliği could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.3%
5.9%
8.8%
Sivasspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sivasspor will win
(116 of 136 users predict this - 85.29%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.34% – 91.24%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).
Sivasspor has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Gençlerbirliği has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sivasspor is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.