Match Info

Super Lig - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Sivasspor		Antalyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.97	3.42	3.79
	2.02	3.49	4.01
	1.98	3.52	3.83	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.97	3.42	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.14)	3.51 ↓ (4.08)	3.75 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
47.9%

Draw
26.9%

Antalyaspor
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

23.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antalyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antalyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Sivasspor - Antalyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sivasspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 8. Charisis C. 46. Boke T. 12. Moutoussamy S. 80. Bekiroglu E. 24. Rodrigues G. 9. Manaj R.	13. Piric K. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 89. Sari V. (C) 2. Thalisson Kelven 11. Vural G. 18. Kaluzinski J. 22. van de Streek S. 5. Dikmen S. 8. Safuri R. 81. Samudio B. 10. Larsson S.
Substitutes
17. Bassan E. 53. Basyigit E. 30. Cigerci T. 58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 55. Koita F. 44. Poungouras A. 10. Pritchard A. 22. Simic V. 90. Turgunboev A.	7. Balci B. 12. Djenepo M. 77. Dursun A. 9. Gaich A. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 58. Milosevic D. 3. Ozturk B. 16. Petrusenko O. 14. Uzunhan E. 21. Yigiter A. (G)
Coaches
Calimbay R.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
38', Yilmaz M. ↓, Balci B. ↑,
43', Vural G. 🟨,
45+3', Erdal Z. 🟨,
45+7', Kaluzinski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Boke T. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Radakovic U. ⚽, Bekiroglu E. (A),
68', Safuri R. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
68', Dikmen S. ↓, Djenepo M. ↑,
68', Samudio B. ↓, Milosevic D. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Manaj R. ⚽,
76', Manaj R. 🟨,
79', Rodrigues G. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
79', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Cigerci T. ↑,
86', Cigerci T. 🟨,
86', Vural G. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
90', Ciftci U. ↓, Basyigit E. ↑,
90+1', Manaj R. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
90+1', Gaich A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 2.

Sivasspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antalyaspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sivasspor will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Nikolic D. (Injury)

There will not play in Antalyaspor: Rakip E. (Yellow Cards) Townsend A. (Inactive) Uzun E. (Knee Injury) Yesilyurt E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Bassan E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Ingenc B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ozturk B. (Injury) Safuri R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:23 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Antalyaspor - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.95%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
19.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:1 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWL
- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
12.04.25	Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
Friendly
22.03.25	Antalyaspor - Curaçao	Canceled ✺
Turkish Super League
14.03.25	Galatasaray - Antalyaspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWW?L

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
29.11.24	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	2:1
24.01.24	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	2:1
26.08.23	Sivasspor - Antalyaspor	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	0:2
Turkish Super League
24.04.23	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	1:2
31.10.22	Sivasspor - Antalyaspor	0:2
06.03.22	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	1:0

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