Match Info

1. Lig - Round 37

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Aldemir M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sivasspor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.19	3.1
	2.22	3.35	3.29
	2.28	3.74	2.76	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.18	3.33	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.48)	3.32 ↓ (3.62)	3.08 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
42%

Draw
27.9%

Igdirspor
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igdirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Sivasspor - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 20. Celik M. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 80. Celik C. 15. Fidan K. 8. Charisis C. 26. Yildirim M. 10. Okoronkwo J. 27. Ethemi V.	54. Tepe T. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 4. Selvi A. 77. Vural G. 6. Guctekin O. K. 61. Asan S. 58. Kaya G. 14. Doh M. 7. Fofana M. 9. Bruno G.
Substitutes
92. Ala S. 11. Badji A. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 41. Sarman S. (G) 95. Selvili A. 6. Yigiter O.	98. Akyuz M. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 21. Erdogan D. 15. Ergul T. 23. Guneren A. K. 10. Loshaj F. 20. Mendes R. 3. Tsunami 2. Yalcin R. 66. Yasar A.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Karaman H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bruno G. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Doh M. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Appindangoye A. ⚽, Ethemi V. (A),
57', Kaya G. 🟨,
58', Selvi A. 🟨,
63', Asan S. ↓, Cankaya A. R. ↑,
64', Fofana M. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
68', Fidan K. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Yildirim M. ⚽,
79', Celik C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
79', Yildirim M. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
83', Kaya G. ↓, Erdogan D. ↑,
83', Bruno G. ↓, Loshaj F. ↑,
85', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
89', Charisis C. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
90+3', Ethemi V. 🟨,
90+3', Ethemi V. ↓, Ala S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Sivasspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Igdirspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Manaj R. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Igdirspor: Suarez A. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Igdirspor - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
19.04.26	Çorum - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:3 ✺
09.04.26	Boluspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Manisa FK - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
19.04.26	Igdirspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Adana Demirspor - Igdirspor	1:6 ✺
08.04.26	Igdirspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Erzurumspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Igdirspor - Çorum	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1

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