Match Info

1. Lig - Round 35

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sivasspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.48	4.79	Watch
	1.7	3.85	5.24
	1.76	3.57	4.53	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.6
	1.73	3.57	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.56 ↓ (3.85)	4.73 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
54.4%

Draw
26%

İstanbulspor
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Sivasspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - İstanbulspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 15. Fidan K. 80. Celik C. 12. Malle A. 72. Avramovski D. 27. Ethemi V. 10. Okoronkwo J.	28. Tutar A. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 44. Ozer Y. 8. Temel V. 6. Vorobjovas M. (C) 37. Phellipe 52. Duymaz O. F. 30. Cham A. 7. Sambissa D.
Substitutes
22. Akkan G. (G) 92. Ala S. 11. Badji A. 14. Boke T. 20. Celik M. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 41. Sarman S. (G) 6. Yigiter O. 26. Yildirim M.	11. Aydin D. 2. Bahadir Y. 58. Dagasan M. 83. Dayakli I. 77. Krstovski M. 25. Mert M. 20. Sahan O. 26. Serbest M. (G) 99. Sol M. 18. Tuncer T.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Kanbak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Celik C. ⚽,
26', Erdogan O. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, Duymaz O. F. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Malle A. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
48', Sahin D. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Celik C. (Own goal),
63', 1 - 3, Sambissa D. ⚽, Phellipe (A),
65', Fidan K. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
72', Temel V. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
73', Phellipe ↓, Aydin D. ↑,
78', Avramovski D. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
78', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
87', Duymaz O. F. ↓, Mert M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 3.

Sivasspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

İstanbulspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Manaj R. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Knee Injury) Dogan I. (Face Injury) Emek A. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness)

We predict that Sivasspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbulspor - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 21.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
09.04.26	Boluspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Manisa FK - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
09.04.26	İstanbulspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	İstanbulspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	İstanbulspor - Amed SK	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1
Turkish Super League
17.05.24	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	1:3
23.12.23	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:0
Club Friendly
13.07.23	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	3:0
Turkish Super League
13.03.23	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	3:0
11.09.22	Sivasspor - İstanbulspor	1:1

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