Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5	Watch
	1.64	3.63	4.81
	1.65	3.95	5.14
	1.63	3.96	4.95	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.59	3.7	5.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	3.72 ↓ (4.11)	4.99 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
56.7%

Draw
24.8%

Igdirspor
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzurumspor's form might have worsened.

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erzurumspor - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E. (C)	26. Bolat S. (C) 58. Kaya G. 35. Cankaya A. R. 2. Yalcin R. 77. Vural G. 10. Loshaj F. 23. Guneren A. K. 17. Engin A. 7. Fofana M. 20. Mendes R. 55. Koita F.
Substitutes
11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 19. Fernando Andrade 99. Fettahoglu M. 16. Kabak A. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H. 22. Yumlu M.	61. Asan S. 9. Bruno G. 21. Erdogan D. 15. Ergul T. 6. Guctekin O. K. 5. Ozturk A. 4. Selvi A. 54. Tepe T. (G) 3. Tsunami 66. Yasar A.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Karaman H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Loshaj F. ⚽,
37', Gerxhaliu A. 🟨,
43', Fofana M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Ovacikli O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Akgun S. ↓, Fettahoglu M. ↑,
60', Mendes R. ↓, Bruno G. ↑,
70', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
74', Engin A. ↓, Asan S. ↑,
75', Loshaj F. ↓, Erdogan D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Keser B. ⚽,
83', Keser B. ↓, Yumlu M. ↑,
84', Tozlu E. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
90+1', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Ozturk A. ↑,
90+1', Kaya G. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 10).

Erzurumspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Igdirspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Erzurumspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Yigit E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Igdirspor: Suarez A. (Inactive)

We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
22.03.26	Erokspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Erzurumspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	8:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
22.03.26	Igdirspor - Çorum	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Igdirspor - Bodrumspor	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Boluspor - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.11.25	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1
23.02.25	Erzurumspor - Igdirspor	0:0
27.09.24	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	1:2

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