Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.53	3.39	2.48	Watch
	2.61	3.56	2.59
	2.99	3.53	2.21	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.57	3.46	2.57	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.59)	3.42 ↓ (3.56)	2.37 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
33.8%

Draw
27.1%

Sivasspor
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.9%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Manisa FK - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 27. Gureler Y. 19. Erdem U. 25. Cissokho M. (C) 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 17. Kahraman O. 9. Diony L. 23. Kiprit M.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. (C) 3. Erdogan O. 2. Appindangoye A. 5. Basyigit E. 26. Yildirim M. 10. Okoronkwo J. 80. Celik C. 15. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 24. Dursun Y. 98. Guler K. 13. Ibik A. 70. Kose Y. E. 65. Sen A. 32. Uslu M. 29. Yurtdas O.	22. Akkan G. (G) 92. Ala S. 11. Badji A. 16. Erdursun A. (G) 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 12. Malle A. 95. Selvili A. 6. Yigiter O.
Coaches
Pektas A.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Yildirim M. 🟨,
27', Herelle C. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Okoronkwo J. ⚽, Yildirim M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Fidan K. 🟨,
63', Kiprit M. ↓, Can Aslan U. ↑,
69', Can Aslan U. 🟨,
70', Boke T. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Herelle C. 🟨,
76', Kahraman O. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,
87', Boke T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
90', Erdogan O. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
90+1', Can Aslan U. ↓, Dursun Y. ↑,
90+2', Bakirbas G. 🟨,
90+5', Karapo A. 🟨,
90+6', Ethemi V. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Manisa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sivasspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sivasspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Manisa: Adekanye B. (Yellow Cards) Vargas A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M. (Injury) Charisis C. (Injury) Manaj R. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
15.03.26	Amed SK - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	8:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLW
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
15.03.26	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.11.25	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	3:2

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