Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect


	Sarıyer		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.10	4.20	Watch
	1.83	3.10	3.90
	2.07	3.00	3.20	Watch
	1.89	3.24	4.82
	1.97	3.3	3.87	Watch
	1.85	3.15	4.75
	1.88	3.24	4.38	Watch
	1.88	3.15	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)	3.16 ↓ (3.38)	4.14 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
48.6%

Draw
29.2%

Bodrumspor
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarıyer's performance.

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarıyer - Bodrumspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Sariyer (2.05) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sehic I. (G) 77. Karayel C. 88. Osmanpasa C. (C) 4. Dikmen E. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 8. Silva M. 93. Thiam M. 10. Karaca E. 14. Ergul T. 11. Karadag E. 90. Eze E.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Apaydin F. 5. Ajeti Ar. (C) 4. Yilmaz A. S. 77. Yavuzay B. 6. de Sousa T. 11. Bilsel E. 20. Sertkaya Y. 82. Baskan B. 10. Fernando Andrade 26. Aboubakar V.
Substitutes
1. Akyuz F. (G) 7. Alici B. 24. Arslan K. 3. Attamah J. 17. Davas D. 23. Ergun U. 41. Gedik F. 9. Kor B. 53. Poko A. 28. Yesilyurt H. E.	17. Arslan E. 19. Aslan B. 8. Erdilman M. 30. Gashijan E. 75. Kaplan E. 14. Loshaj F. 80. Providence R. 52. Sahin D. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G)
Coaches
Bolukbasi B.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Sertkaya Y. ⚽, de Sousa T. (A),
9', Apaydin F. 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Fernando Andrade (A),
23', 0 - 3, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Baskan B. (A),
27', Fernando Andrade ↓, Aslan B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silva M. ↓, Poko A. ↑,
46', Karadag E. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
46', Ergul T. ↓, Attamah J. ↑,
56', Baskan B. 🟨,
64', Thiam M. ↓, Davas D. ↑,
69', Baskan B. ↓, Erdilman M. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Aslan B. ⚽, Erdilman M. (A),
80', Bilsel E. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Davas D. ⚽, Karayel C. (A),
90', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Loshaj F. ↑,
90', Apaydin F. ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,
90', Bilsel E. ↓, Gashijan E. ↑,
90+1', Eze E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarıyer holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Bodrumspor: Dumanli C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bodrumspor: Aslan A. (Hip Injury).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sarıyer has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sarıyer against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Bodrumspor	12	4	5	3	15:11	4	17
11	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Bodrumspor - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
09.10.26	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sarıyer - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
09.10.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Pendikspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bodrumspor - Batman Petrolspor	4:0 ✺
07.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.05.26	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	0:1
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.22	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	3:0
31.10.21	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
17.03.19	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1
27.10.18	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.18	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1

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