Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.15
	1.64	3.32	5.15
	1.64	3.36	5.18	Watch
	1.59	3.63	5.7	Watch
	1.48	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	5.44 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
56.8%

Draw
26.5%

Besa Kavajë
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

25.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Skënderbeu Korçë aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, Janaqi D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

Skënderbeu is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Besa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Skënderbeu is a strong favorite.

We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
19.10.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kukësi	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pogradeci - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
19.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Burreli - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Besa Kavajë - Apolonia Fier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
07.05.23	Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë	0:1
20.12.22	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:0
Albanian Cup
12.02.20	Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë	1:0
Albanian Super League
20.04.14	Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë	1:0

Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide