Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Iliria

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.25	8.8
	1.31	4.46	8.24
	1.32	4.41	8.65	Watch
	1.3	4.2	10
	1.33	4.59	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	4.38 ↑ (4.2)	8.94 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
69.1%

Draw
20.7%

Iliria
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

21%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Skënderbeu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Iliria has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iliria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skënderbeu is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
22.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTWW
- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
22.03.26	Iliria - Laçi	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Pogradeci - Iliria	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Burreli - Iliria	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Iliria - Kukësi	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Iliria - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
17.12.25	Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:2
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2
Albanian First Division
12.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	2:0

Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide