The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iliria 44.5%
Draw 28.7%
Besa Kavajë 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28.3%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
26.9%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Iliria - Besa Kavajë Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Xhika D. (G) 75. Diarrassouba A. . Kallaku A. . Markoci X. 24. Mavanga D. J. . Osma 7. Rodriguez S. 3. Selmani A. 2. Selmani B. . Stafa E. . Yakubu A.
13. Abdulai N. . Abdullahu . Ajivi 33. Bianor . Cinuendu 26. Cordeiro W. . Daja V. 22. Danaj R. 4. Kapo E. 32. Migone R. 23. Spahiu E.
Substitutes
. Demiraj A. 19. Fofana M. . Hasaj K. . Koleci E. . Lika G. 77. Osikel J. . Pjetri A. . Rossi G. 99. Veriu R. 5. Yahaya M.
. Begaj X. 7. Beqja F. . Dema E. (G) . Gjinaj N. . Hasani E. . Hebeja R. 19. Nurja J. . Puqja S. . Rrena H. 11. Treni P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Cordeiro W. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Chinwendu G. ⚽,
16', Osma X. 🟨,
41', Migone R. ↓, Gjinaj N. ↑,
45', Daja V. 🟨,
45+1', Gjinaj N. 🟨,
45+4', Spahiu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kallaku A. ↓, Lika G. ↑,
46', Yakubu A. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
46', Kallaku A. 🟨,
57', Mavanga D. J. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
58', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
60', Danaj R. ↓, Hebeja R. ↑,
61', Osma X. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
72', Cordeiro W. ↓, Beqja F. ↑,
74', Spahiu E. ↓, Begaj X. ↑,
84', Markoci X. ↓, Veriu R. ↑,
90+1', Stafa E. 🟨,
90+5', Selmani S. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Iliria could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iliria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Iliria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.