Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 11

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)


	Skeid		Bryne

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.4
	1.96	3.65	3.4
	1.9	3.84	3.83
	1.88	3.4	3.5
	1.89	3.85	3.72	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	3.63 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
48.9%

Draw
25.4%

Bryne
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skeid's performance.

Bryne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bryne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skeid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bryne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Skeid - Bryne Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Skeid will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Bryne will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skeid: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 14. Andresen H. 4. Steiring P. 7. Ness U. 11. Hickson D. 8. Melchior M. 2. Naustdal T. 39. Rise B. (C) 27. Hoven K. 9. Buduson J. 17. Altai H.	99. Spiridonov I. (G) 20. Norheim S. 26. Kryger A. (C) 24. Husebo J. 15. Hatlehol J. 9. Sodal L. 4. Landu-Landu Ch. 8. Dybevik A. 7. Gronli S. 17. Arsvoll E. I. 18. Diaw M.
Substitutes
32. Aaserud M. 22. Aas S. 34. Arsbog N. 16. Effiom M. 3. Flo F. 5. Johansen A. 1. Kvarekval L. (G) 6. Nordengen E. 20. Vinje F.	3. Aamodt P. 5. Baldvinsson R. 12. Bergene S. (G) 32. Jonassen S. T. 6. Mneney N. 2. Rotihaug O.
Coaches
Holme G.	Knappen O.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Skeid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Skeid have a series of guest games.

Skeid will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Skeid won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Bærum - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kristiansund - Skeid	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Holmlia - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Kongsvinger - Skeid	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL
- Bryne FK
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Vard Haugesund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Bryne - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Rosseland - Bryne	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Bryne	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Bryne - Jerv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.22	Bryne - Skeid	0:3
11.07.22	Skeid - Bryne	1:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
20.10.18	Skeid - Bryne	2:0
22.07.18	Bryne - Skeid	3:1

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