Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 12

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)


	Skeid		KFUM-Kameratene Oslo

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.88	3.5	2.25
	2.93	3.62	2.34
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.93	3.48	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
32.2%

Draw
26.8%

KFUM-Kameratene Oslo
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

KFUM-Kameratene Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KFUM-Kameratene Oslo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KFUM-Kameratene Oslo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Skeid - KFUM Kameratene Oslo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Skeid will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). KFUM Oslo will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KFUM Oslo: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 14. Andresen H. 4. Steiring P. 17. Altai H. 11. Hickson D. 2. Naustdal T. 39. Rise B. (C) 7. Ness U. 8. Melchior M. 9. Buduson J. 27. Hoven K.	1. Odegaard E. (G) 29. Harrison K. 5. Akinyemi A. 15. Tonnessen M. 3. Gaye D. 8. Hestnes S. 7. Rasch R. (C) 2. Ghaedamini K. 6. Svindland A. 9. Hummelvoll-Nunez J. 18. Okeke O.
Substitutes
32. Aaserud M. 22. Aas S. 16. Effiom M. 3. Flo F. 24. Johansen T. 6. Nordengen E. 50. Solberg I. (G) 26. Tjostheim E. 20. Vinje F.	22. Dahl P. 27. Gundersen A. 17. Haltvik T. 16. Hjorth J. 14. Hoseth H. 19. Saad Y. 25. Sandal S. 13. Vang M. (G)
Coaches
Holme G.	Moesgaard J.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skeid won 0.

Recent matches Skeid is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KFUM-Kameratene Oslo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Skeid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Skeid won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Skeid - Bryne	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Bærum - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kristiansund - Skeid	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Holmlia - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWL
- KFUM-Kameratene Oslo
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Åsane	4:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Gjelleråsen - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Bryne - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Hønefoss - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.08.22	Skeid - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:5
30.05.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Skeid	3:0
Club Friendly
30.01.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Skeid	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.09.19	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Skeid	2:1
16.06.19	Skeid - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.19	Skeid - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
01.09.18	Skeid - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3

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