Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Lyn

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.75
	3.8	3.7	1.77
	4.05	3.95	1.75	Watch
	4.46	3.98	1.8
	3.93	3.85	1.80	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.8
	4.29	3.96	1.71	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.54)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	1.8 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
23.7%

Draw
24.4%

Lyn
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

25.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Skeid - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyn: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bajrami A. (G) 5. Akinyemi A. 4. Flo F. 2. Haruna J. 7. Bojang S. (C) 8. Stensland F. 10. Naustdal T. 6. Hadzic A. 3. Toure O. 9. Stensrud A. 11. Andersen M.	1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 29. Sylla M. 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 24. Fredriksen D. 14. Isufi E. 9. Olsen A. 23. Laghzaoui S. 10. Johansen M. 11. Hellum A.
Substitutes
1. Andersen M. (G) 16. Delaveris F. 21. Fiksdal J. 15. Ghaedamini K. 20. Neto L. 18. Odemarksbakken K. 22. Steiring P. 17. Sunday G. 19. Yusuf H.	17. Arzani D. 27. Barnett I. 26. Breistol O. 5. Bydal E. 77. Hylen B. 19. Myhre T. 28. Niang M. 4. Sell W. 12. Wold J. (G)
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hellum A. ⚽, Johansen M. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Stensrud A. ⚽,
27', Sylla M. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Andersen M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sylla M. ↓, Sell W. ↑,
46', Isufi E. ↓, Bydal E. ↑,
52', Fredriksen D. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Hellum A. ⚽, Olsen A. (A),
64', Laghzaoui S. 🟨,
68', Naustdal T. ↓, Neto L. ↑,
68', Akinyemi A. ↓, Steiring P. ↑,
74', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
74', Fredriksen D. ↓, Myhre T. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Sell W. ⚽, Haugen S. (A),
81', Hellum A. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
84', Stensland F. ↓, Odemarksbakken K. ↑,
84', Flo F. ↓, Delaveris F. ↑,
84', Bojang S. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
87', Haruna J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Skeid has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lyn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Lyn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Skeid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.08.25	Hødd - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Asker Fotball - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Skeid - Egersund	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Skeid - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Sogndal - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLT
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.25	Lyn - Egersund	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Nordstrand - Lyn	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Lyn - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Åsane - Lyn	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Raufoss - Lyn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1
Club Friendly
22.03.23	Skeid - Lyn	2:4
Norwegian NM Cup
27.04.17	Skeid - Lyn	2:1
24.04.14	Lyn - Skeid	4:0

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