Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 22

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Hajizadeh A. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Moss

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.82	3.6	2.28
	2.8	3.61	2.34
	1.81	3.47	4.39	Watch
	2.8	3.62	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)	2.62 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
36.2%

Draw
27%

Moss
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Skeid - Moss Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bajrami A. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 20. Haruna J. 4. Steiring P. (C) 14. Toure O. 21. Neto L. 15. Hadzic A. 8. Yusuf H. 10. Andersen M. 29. Sunday G. 45. Stensrud A.	1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 6. Lassen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 23. Barros J. 21. Gronli S. 9. Musbaudeen J. 17. Andersen P. 34. Fuglestad N. 11. Jakobsen T. 47. Rossi L.
Substitutes
23. Akinyemi A. 1. Andersen M. (G) 2. Ba B. 9. Delaveris F. 7. Fiksdal J. 5. Ghaedamini K. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 17. Saad Y. 33. Stensland F.	49. Afonso M. 2. Cassidy M. 15. Engesvik A. A. 46. Kvale W. 29. Mayonga M. 19. Memedov A. 5. Race E. 12. Sundling J. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Nesselquist O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Neto L. ⚽, Yusuf H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Steiring P. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
46', Barros J. ↓, Kvale W. ↑,
58', Andersen M. ↓, Odemarksbakken K. ↑,
58', Sunday G. ↓, Saad Y. ↑,
58', Gronli S. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
58', Rossi L. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
66', Saad Y. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Hoyland L. (Own goal),
73', Kvale W. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
79', Toure O. ↓, Ba B. ↑,
79', Neto L. ↓, Stensland F. ↑,
86', Musbaudeen J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1.

Skeid is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Moss has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Skeid won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Moss - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.91%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Skeid - Lyn	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Hødd - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Asker Fotball - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Skeid - Egersund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Moss - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Kjelsås - Moss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Moss - Odd	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Råde - Moss	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.05.25	Moss - Skeid	2:1
17.09.23	Moss - Skeid	3:0
03.05.23	Skeid - Moss	2:2
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Skeid - Moss	1:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.09.20	Moss - Skeid	Canceled
05.09.20	Moss - Skeid	2:5
Club Friendly
04.02.18	Skeid - Moss	3:3

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