Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 22

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Pogoń Tczew

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.85	2.57
	2.23	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.83 ↑ (3.79)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
41.1%

Draw
23.8%

Pogoń Tczew
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

23.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pogoń Tczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Tczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Skra Częstochowa is Relegated to

Skra Częstochowa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pogoń Tczew has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skra Częstochowa Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
10.05.25	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	Leczna W awarded ✺
03.05.25	Skra Częstochowa - AP Gdańsk	Gdansk W awarded ✺
26.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Skra Częstochowa	Slask Wroclaw W awarded ✺
19.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin	Pogon Szczecin W awarded ✺
12.04.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	Czarni Sosnowiec W awarded
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 60.2 ?????
- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
11.05.25	Pogoń Tczew - Resovia Rzeszów	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Tczew	7:2 ✺
27.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - UKS SMS Łódź	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup Women
13.02.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Tczew	Tczew W awarded
Polish Ekstraliga Women
10.11.24	Pogoń Tczew - Skra Częstochowa	2:0

Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Tczew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide