The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Skra Częstochowa 16.1%
Draw 21.4%
Polonia Bytom 62.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
25.2%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
25.1%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Users Predictions:
Polonia Bytom will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kramarz F. (G) 22. Kaczorowski K. 77. Lorenc M. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. . Silva 98. Stangret M. 90. Stec J. 8. Wrobel M.
99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 25. Konieczny D. 8. Labojko M. 3. Michalski S. 29. Piekarski A. 6. Scislak D. 21. Szumilas W. 14. Szymusik G. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
68. Kaczmarek M. . Kolodziejczyk P. . Kroczek D. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 20. Magnuszewski K. 85. Noworyta K. 26. Sobczak K. 99. Warszakowski B. (G) 11. Winciersz M.
22. Bedronka M. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 30. Sewerys R. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 4. Szywacz R. 28. Wypart O. 10. Zagiel F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Stangret M. ⚽,
45+2', Nocon P. 🟨,
45+3', Kramarz F. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Zielinski L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Lorenc M. 🟨,
56', Szumilas W. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
64', Stangret M. ↓, Noworyta K. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Scislak D. ⚽,
68', Labojko M. 🟨,
76', Stec J. ↓, Kolodziejczyk P. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Kroczek D. 🟨,
87', Nocon P. ↓, Kaczmarek M. ↑,
90+5', Piekarski A. 🟨,
90+7', Sadowski H. 🟨,
Preview
No spectators.
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 2.
Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Polonia Bytom is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Skra Częstochowa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Polonia Bytom is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Poland
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Kramarz F. (G) 
Silva 
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