Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.15	2.33
	3.08	3.29	2.41
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.96	3.26	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
31.3%

Draw
28.8%

Chrobry Głogów
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	13%	69.6%

Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Chrobry will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chrobry: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - GIEKSA Arena.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

Skra Częstochowa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chrobry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chrobry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chrobry will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Chrobry to win the game is with odds 2.19.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
15.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Tychy - Skra Częstochowa	5:0 ✺
01.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Cup
20.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
16.10.22	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Tychy	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	GKS Katowice - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
03.10.22	Chrobry Głogów - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.04.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	2:2
10.09.21	Chrobry Głogów - Skra Częstochowa	0:1

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