Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: KS Skra Częstochowa (Częstochowa)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.15
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.25	2.9	2.2
	3.66	3.09	2.24
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.52	2.97	2.2
	3.4	3.05	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.53)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.18 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
26.9%

Draw
31%

Odra Opole
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Odra Opole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Odra Opole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odra Opole: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 0.

Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odra Opole is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odra Opole will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
16.04.23	Arka Gdynia - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Skra Częstochowa - Resovia Rzeszów	0:5 ✺
31.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 WLWLW
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
15.04.23	Odra Opole - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
11.04.23	GKS Katowice - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.03.23	Odra Opole - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.23	Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole	1:3
Polish Division 1
18.09.22	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	1:0
24.04.22	Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole	2:2
Club Friendly
12.02.22	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	3:2
Polish Division 1
20.10.21	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	1:0
Club Friendly
08.02.20	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	0:3
30.07.17	Odra Opole - Skra Częstochowa	2:4

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