Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion GOSiR (Gdynia)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)


	Arka Gdynia		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.33	6.25
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.89	7.04
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.41	4.5	6.95
	1.38	4.6	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.44 ↑ (4.18)	6.71 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
65.4%

Draw
20.8%

Skra Częstochowa
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arka Gdynia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arka Gdynia - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Arka is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
08.04.23	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Odra Opole - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
13.03.23	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
03.03.23	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTTLW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
08.04.23	Skra Częstochowa - Resovia Rzeszów	0:5 ✺
31.03.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.09.22	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	1:2
03.04.22	Arka Gdynia - Skra Częstochowa	3:2
20.09.21	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	2:1

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